Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd (YMM)
Red 📈 GrowthInformation Technology · As of 17 July 2026
Price chart — 52 weeks
OakBag’s model puts the fair value of Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd (YMM) at about $12.15, against a recent price of $9.14 — a margin of safety of +25%. On that basis the traffic light is set so it looks expensive or risky. The estimate blends up to 3 independent valuation methods and is benchmarked against other Information Technology names. It is a model estimate for research, not a price target or a recommendation.
Fair value vs. price
- Current price
- $9.14
- Estimated fair value
- $12.15
- Margin of safety
- +25%
- Growth fair value
- $14.40
- Margin of safety (growth)
- +37%
How the fair value is built
Knock-out safety checks failed
- Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z″)
- Negative equity
- Excessive leverage
- Illiquid
- Penny / micro-cap
- Stale fundamentals
- Piotroski F-score
- 3 / 9
- Altman Z-score
- 20.30
- Beneish M-score
- 0.07
Quality & factor profile
Retail attention
- Attention
- 19 / 100
- Mentions today
- 1
- Spike vs. 24h ago
- 1×
See the full analysis
Create a free OakBag account to unlock every valuation method, price history, watchlists and email alerts for YMM and 1,850+ other stocks.
No credit card · just an email
Frequently asked questions
Is Full Truck Alliance . (YMM) undervalued?
On OakBag’s model, Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd looks expensive or risky: the estimated fair value is $12.15 versus a recent price of $9.14, a margin of safety of +25%. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
What is YMM’s fair value estimate?
OakBag estimates Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd’s fair value at about $12.15, blending up to 3 methods — peer P/E, price-to-book, peer EV/EBITDA, a machine-learning valuation and a cash-flow DCF — clipped to a sensible band and taken at the median.
What is margin of safety?
Margin of safety is how far below the estimated fair value the price sits: (fair value − price) ÷ fair value. Here it is +25%. A positive number means the model sees the stock as cheap; OakBag only turns a stock green above +15%.
Does a green verdict mean I should buy YMM?
No. OakBag is an educational and research tool, not investment advice. The traffic light is an automated model output based on third-party data that may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research.
Other Information Technology stocks
An educational and research tool — not investment advice. OakBag is an educational and research tool, not investment advice. Scores and rankings are automated model outputs based on third-party data and may be inaccurate or delayed. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.