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Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc (WMS)

Orange

Materials · As of 17 July 2026

Price chart — 52 weeks

WMS · 147.55 (last weekly close) SMA 10w SMA 40w
100110120130140150160170180AugSepOctNovDec2026FebMarAprMayJunJul5.0MWeek of Jul 21, 2025 · O 113.32 · H 118.85 · L 110.80 · C 118.53 · Vol 2.3MWeek of Jul 28, 2025 · O 118.76 · H 121.24 · L 110.85 · C 113.76 · Vol 3.6MWeek of Aug 4, 2025 · O 114.00 · H 135.76 · L 112.67 · C 131.41 · Vol 5.9MWeek of Aug 11, 2025 · O 132.39 · H 143.42 · L 130.89 · C 138.85 · Vol 4.7MWeek of Aug 18, 2025 · O 139.11 · H 148.98 · L 137.50 · C 147.29 · Vol 5.7MWeek of Aug 25, 2025 · O 145.62 · H 147.85 · L 142.83 · C 143.97 · Vol 3.1MWeek of Sep 1, 2025 · O 141.29 · H 148.83 · L 139.51 · C 148.41 · Vol 3.0MWeek of Sep 8, 2025 · O 148.18 · H 148.92 · L 132.03 · C 141.49 · Vol 5.5MWeek of Sep 15, 2025 · O 142.03 · H 146.94 · L 139.78 · C 143.17 · Vol 4.3MWeek of Sep 22, 2025 · O 142.49 · H 148.36 · L 135.22 · C 137.39 · Vol 3.4MWeek of Sep 29, 2025 · O 138.84 · H 143.78 · L 135.47 · C 141.95 · Vol 3.1MWeek of Oct 6, 2025 · O 143.01 · H 143.01 · L 133.65 · C 134.05 · Vol 3.0MWeek of Oct 13, 2025 · O 136.48 · H 143.55 · L 132.93 · C 140.91 · Vol 2.7MWeek of Oct 20, 2025 · O 141.60 · H 144.90 · L 139.22 · C 143.45 · Vol 2.7MWeek of Oct 27, 2025 · O 143.78 · H 145.48 · L 137.83 · C 140.05 · Vol 3.4MWeek of Nov 3, 2025 · O 138.59 · H 153.25 · L 133.76 · C 148.02 · Vol 5.4MWeek of Nov 10, 2025 · O 150.71 · H 152.71 · L 143.81 · C 144.24 · Vol 3.6MWeek of Nov 17, 2025 · O 144.11 · H 147.18 · L 137.53 · C 146.75 · Vol 4.1MWeek of Nov 24, 2025 · O 145.52 · H 155.39 · L 145.13 · C 152.38 · Vol 2.1MWeek of Dec 1, 2025 · O 150.74 · H 154.71 · L 147.26 · C 148.92 · Vol 2.4MWeek of Dec 8, 2025 · O 148.56 · H 153.66 · L 144.67 · C 149.67 · Vol 2.8MWeek of Dec 15, 2025 · O 150.30 · H 150.30 · L 142.86 · C 148.51 · Vol 3.0MWeek of Dec 22, 2025 · O 148.54 · H 150.87 · L 147.01 · C 149.63 · Vol 1.1MWeek of Dec 29, 2025 · O 149.46 · H 150.55 · L 144.20 · C 149.63 · Vol 1.6MWeek of Jan 5, 2026 · O 149.37 · H 159.84 · L 146.70 · C 158.79 · Vol 3.8MWeek of Jan 12, 2026 · O 157.86 · H 160.31 · L 155.05 · C 159.30 · Vol 4.1MWeek of Jan 19, 2026 · O 156.52 · H 160.85 · L 152.43 · C 153.09 · Vol 2.3MWeek of Jan 26, 2026 · O 154.44 · H 154.97 · L 149.92 · C 152.04 · Vol 2.4MWeek of Feb 2, 2026 · O 152.49 · H 178.41 · L 151.41 · C 175.38 · Vol 5.9MWeek of Feb 9, 2026 · O 175.26 · H 179.32 · L 166.53 · C 170.98 · Vol 3.9MWeek of Feb 16, 2026 · O 169.68 · H 176.49 · L 167.40 · C 170.61 · Vol 2.3MWeek of Feb 23, 2026 · O 170.43 · H 172.87 · L 166.24 · C 171.34 · Vol 3.0MWeek of Mar 2, 2026 · O 167.80 · H 169.58 · L 141.53 · C 146.11 · Vol 4.4MWeek of Mar 9, 2026 · O 143.38 · H 153.07 · L 136.75 · C 137.27 · Vol 5.8MWeek of Mar 16, 2026 · O 140.53 · H 142.68 · L 130.60 · C 132.19 · Vol 5.0MWeek of Mar 23, 2026 · O 137.31 · H 141.45 · L 132.01 · C 132.70 · Vol 4.1MWeek of Mar 30, 2026 · O 134.47 · H 141.18 · L 130.63 · C 137.67 · Vol 3.5MWeek of Apr 6, 2026 · O 136.63 · H 152.39 · L 136.14 · C 147.18 · Vol 4.2MWeek of Apr 13, 2026 · O 144.70 · H 156.99 · L 143.90 · C 153.37 · Vol 6.7MWeek of Apr 20, 2026 · O 151.88 · H 159.05 · L 149.86 · C 151.97 · Vol 5.0MWeek of Apr 27, 2026 · O 151.89 · H 154.34 · L 145.12 · C 147.31 · Vol 2.9MWeek of May 4, 2026 · O 145.73 · H 152.41 · L 140.54 · C 143.20 · Vol 3.8MWeek of May 11, 2026 · O 143.08 · H 144.33 · L 134.45 · C 135.64 · Vol 3.7MWeek of May 18, 2026 · O 134.97 · H 138.71 · L 128.03 · C 133.00 · Vol 6.0MWeek of May 25, 2026 · O 134.72 · H 143.64 · L 134.05 · C 139.16 · Vol 3.3MWeek of Jun 1, 2026 · O 137.49 · H 138.11 · L 129.34 · C 130.15 · Vol 6.4MWeek of Jun 8, 2026 · O 132.10 · H 136.98 · L 129.30 · C 134.95 · Vol 5.0MWeek of Jun 15, 2026 · O 138.86 · H 149.65 · L 136.78 · C 147.12 · Vol 5.2MWeek of Jun 22, 2026 · O 144.91 · H 155.92 · L 136.33 · C 154.50 · Vol 5.3MWeek of Jun 29, 2026 · O 153.19 · H 157.99 · L 149.48 · C 152.18 · Vol 3.1MWeek of Jul 6, 2026 · O 153.30 · H 153.34 · L 142.36 · C 150.47 · Vol 3.1MWeek of Jul 13, 2026 · O 149.82 · H 154.28 · L 146.58 · C 147.55 · Vol 3.0M148
Weekly candles over the last 52 weeks, split-adjusted, with 10- and 40-week moving averages; trading volume along the bottom. As of Jul 13, 2026.

OakBag’s model puts the fair value of Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc (WMS) at about $169.53, against a recent price of $147.55 — a margin of safety of +13%. On that basis the traffic light is set so it looks fairly valued. The estimate blends up to 4 independent valuation methods and is benchmarked against other Materials names. It is a model estimate for research, not a price target or a recommendation.

Fair value vs. price

Current price
$147.55
Estimated fair value
$169.53
Margin of safety
+13%
−50%0+50%

How the fair value is built

Peer P/E$198.46
Peer EV/EBITDA$193.22
ML-justified$145.84
Cash-flow DCF$67.57
Graham number$47.61

How is this computed?

Why not green?

  • It looks cheap largely because of its high quality. Stripping the quality premium out, the margin of safety is only 1% — below the buy bar (quality is already rewarded in the score).

Knock-out safety checks passed

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z″)
  • Negative equity
  • Excessive leverage
  • Illiquid
  • Penny / micro-cap
  • Stale fundamentals
Piotroski F-score
5 / 9
Altman Z-score
7.34
Beneish M-score
-2.74

Quality & factor profile

Value +0.16
Quality +0.61
Profitability +0.56
Momentum -0.34
Growth -0.26
Low volatility +0.42

See the full analysis

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Frequently asked questions

Is Advanced Drainage Systems (WMS) undervalued?

On OakBag’s model, Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc looks fairly valued: the estimated fair value is $169.53 versus a recent price of $147.55, a margin of safety of +13%. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.

What is WMS’s fair value estimate?

OakBag estimates Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc’s fair value at about $169.53, blending up to 4 methods — peer P/E, price-to-book, peer EV/EBITDA, a machine-learning valuation and a cash-flow DCF — clipped to a sensible band and taken at the median.

What is margin of safety?

Margin of safety is how far below the estimated fair value the price sits: (fair value − price) ÷ fair value. Here it is +13%. A positive number means the model sees the stock as cheap; OakBag only turns a stock green above +15%.

Does a green verdict mean I should buy WMS?

No. OakBag is an educational and research tool, not investment advice. The traffic light is an automated model output based on third-party data that may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research.

Other Materials stocks

An educational and research tool — not investment advice. OakBag is an educational and research tool, not investment advice. Scores and rankings are automated model outputs based on third-party data and may be inaccurate or delayed. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.