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TKO Group Holdings, Inc (TKO)

Orange 📈 Growth

Consumer Discretionary · As of 17 July 2026

Price chart — 52 weeks

TKO · 185.13 (last weekly close) SMA 10w SMA 40w
130140150160170180190200210220230AugSepOctNovDec2026FebMarAprMayJunJul10.0MWeek of Jul 21, 2025 · O 170.56 · H 171.78 · L 163.66 · C 170.05 · Vol 3.6MWeek of Jul 28, 2025 · O 170.02 · H 171.05 · L 164.30 · C 165.61 · Vol 2.9MWeek of Aug 4, 2025 · O 166.77 · H 168.29 · L 152.29 · C 163.29 · Vol 7.5MWeek of Aug 11, 2025 · O 164.21 · H 194.76 · L 164.00 · C 188.85 · Vol 7.1MWeek of Aug 18, 2025 · O 188.12 · H 188.42 · L 180.00 · C 186.17 · Vol 3.3MWeek of Aug 25, 2025 · O 186.00 · H 190.28 · L 181.44 · C 189.56 · Vol 3.3MWeek of Sep 1, 2025 · O 187.28 · H 195.63 · L 184.67 · C 194.00 · Vol 2.9MWeek of Sep 8, 2025 · O 194.66 · H 204.10 · L 192.84 · C 202.44 · Vol 4.4MWeek of Sep 15, 2025 · O 206.51 · H 212.49 · L 199.84 · C 201.11 · Vol 10.9MWeek of Sep 22, 2025 · O 200.31 · H 202.98 · L 194.66 · C 199.04 · Vol 7.4MWeek of Sep 29, 2025 · O 200.55 · H 208.48 · L 193.66 · C 197.35 · Vol 8.7MWeek of Oct 6, 2025 · O 198.50 · H 203.25 · L 185.93 · C 187.05 · Vol 6.5MWeek of Oct 13, 2025 · O 188.00 · H 193.52 · L 186.72 · C 189.28 · Vol 5.2MWeek of Oct 20, 2025 · O 190.20 · H 191.36 · L 184.28 · C 186.85 · Vol 4.9MWeek of Oct 27, 2025 · O 187.31 · H 190.84 · L 185.74 · C 188.40 · Vol 4.9MWeek of Nov 3, 2025 · O 186.94 · H 190.24 · L 177.41 · C 182.56 · Vol 8.9MWeek of Nov 10, 2025 · O 184.34 · H 187.01 · L 177.12 · C 184.09 · Vol 5.4MWeek of Nov 17, 2025 · O 183.56 · H 191.10 · L 176.00 · C 178.17 · Vol 7.7MWeek of Nov 24, 2025 · O 178.32 · H 194.86 · L 177.47 · C 193.89 · Vol 3.7MWeek of Dec 1, 2025 · O 192.82 · H 202.60 · L 192.07 · C 202.22 · Vol 4.6MWeek of Dec 8, 2025 · O 202.41 · H 209.73 · L 190.21 · C 208.42 · Vol 6.9MWeek of Dec 15, 2025 · O 206.44 · H 216.14 · L 201.60 · C 213.44 · Vol 8.9MWeek of Dec 22, 2025 · O 214.08 · H 218.11 · L 212.80 · C 217.44 · Vol 1.9MWeek of Dec 29, 2025 · O 216.36 · H 217.91 · L 206.36 · C 206.94 · Vol 3.5MWeek of Jan 5, 2026 · O 205.05 · H 205.98 · L 198.14 · C 199.63 · Vol 4.7MWeek of Jan 12, 2026 · O 198.29 · H 213.02 · L 197.95 · C 203.27 · Vol 5.1MWeek of Jan 19, 2026 · O 203.77 · H 207.64 · L 196.91 · C 204.91 · Vol 3.9MWeek of Jan 26, 2026 · O 203.44 · H 204.76 · L 192.52 · C 202.58 · Vol 4.6MWeek of Feb 2, 2026 · O 201.86 · H 212.19 · L 196.82 · C 211.90 · Vol 3.9MWeek of Feb 9, 2026 · O 211.54 · H 216.66 · L 199.20 · C 206.75 · Vol 3.9MWeek of Feb 16, 2026 · O 208.01 · H 214.60 · L 206.98 · C 211.12 · Vol 2.4MWeek of Feb 23, 2026 · O 210.00 · H 226.94 · L 203.16 · C 223.87 · Vol 5.9MWeek of Mar 2, 2026 · O 223.90 · H 226.34 · L 201.70 · C 202.68 · Vol 5.2MWeek of Mar 9, 2026 · O 199.15 · H 210.86 · L 192.91 · C 194.57 · Vol 8.7MWeek of Mar 16, 2026 · O 195.36 · H 203.98 · L 186.95 · C 188.38 · Vol 6.5MWeek of Mar 23, 2026 · O 192.54 · H 198.54 · L 183.77 · C 189.20 · Vol 5.1MWeek of Mar 30, 2026 · O 187.78 · H 208.57 · L 187.24 · C 203.76 · Vol 10.8MWeek of Apr 6, 2026 · O 203.73 · H 203.84 · L 188.47 · C 197.37 · Vol 6.7MWeek of Apr 13, 2026 · O 196.36 · H 198.94 · L 180.58 · C 186.31 · Vol 7.7MWeek of Apr 20, 2026 · O 183.52 · H 189.20 · L 180.63 · C 186.50 · Vol 5.6MWeek of Apr 27, 2026 · O 186.00 · H 190.19 · L 180.53 · C 185.95 · Vol 5.1MWeek of May 4, 2026 · O 185.21 · H 193.59 · L 182.37 · C 186.79 · Vol 8.6MWeek of May 11, 2026 · O 186.12 · H 196.75 · L 182.00 · C 190.07 · Vol 8.5MWeek of May 18, 2026 · O 190.55 · H 196.17 · L 188.71 · C 191.50 · Vol 5.5MWeek of May 25, 2026 · O 192.15 · H 206.07 · L 186.38 · C 205.18 · Vol 5.9MWeek of Jun 1, 2026 · O 205.46 · H 212.00 · L 197.83 · C 203.49 · Vol 5.7MWeek of Jun 8, 2026 · O 202.96 · H 216.70 · L 198.82 · C 203.36 · Vol 5.8MWeek of Jun 15, 2026 · O 203.13 · H 204.98 · L 192.64 · C 198.78 · Vol 12.4MWeek of Jun 22, 2026 · O 197.84 · H 217.13 · L 195.80 · C 215.88 · Vol 6.6MWeek of Jun 29, 2026 · O 214.75 · H 218.85 · L 193.50 · C 194.42 · Vol 7.9MWeek of Jul 6, 2026 · O 193.03 · H 198.28 · L 182.51 · C 184.40 · Vol 6.1MWeek of Jul 13, 2026 · O 185.56 · H 188.32 · L 180.06 · C 185.13 · Vol 6.2M185
Weekly candles over the last 52 weeks, split-adjusted, with 10- and 40-week moving averages; trading volume along the bottom. As of Jul 13, 2026.

OakBag’s model puts the fair value of TKO Group Holdings, Inc (TKO) at about $206.90, against a recent price of $185.13 — a margin of safety of +11%. On that basis the traffic light is set so it looks fairly valued. The estimate blends up to 4 independent valuation methods and is benchmarked against other Consumer Discretionary names. It is a model estimate for research, not a price target or a recommendation.

Fair value vs. price

Current price
$185.13
Estimated fair value
$206.90
Margin of safety
+11%
−50%0+50%
Growth fair value
$430.41
Margin of safety (growth)
+57%

How the fair value is built

Peer P/E$169.59
Peer EV/EBITDA$199.85
ML-justified$213.95
Cash-flow DCF$254.81
Graham number$280.55

How is this computed?

Why not green?

  • It looks cheap largely because of its high quality. Stripping the quality premium out, the margin of safety is only 14% — below the buy bar (quality is already rewarded in the score).

Knock-out safety checks passed

  • Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z″)
  • Negative equity
  • Excessive leverage
  • Illiquid
  • Penny / micro-cap
  • Stale fundamentals
Piotroski F-score
5 / 9
Altman Z-score
4.10
Beneish M-score
-2.33

Quality & factor profile

Value +0.24
Quality -0.14
Profitability -0.09
Momentum +0.18
Growth +0.86
Low volatility +0.60

See the full analysis

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Frequently asked questions

Is TKO (TKO) undervalued?

On OakBag’s model, TKO Group Holdings, Inc looks fairly valued: the estimated fair value is $206.90 versus a recent price of $185.13, a margin of safety of +11%. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.

What is TKO’s fair value estimate?

OakBag estimates TKO Group Holdings, Inc’s fair value at about $206.90, blending up to 4 methods — peer P/E, price-to-book, peer EV/EBITDA, a machine-learning valuation and a cash-flow DCF — clipped to a sensible band and taken at the median.

What is margin of safety?

Margin of safety is how far below the estimated fair value the price sits: (fair value − price) ÷ fair value. Here it is +11%. A positive number means the model sees the stock as cheap; OakBag only turns a stock green above +15%.

Does a green verdict mean I should buy TKO?

No. OakBag is an educational and research tool, not investment advice. The traffic light is an automated model output based on third-party data that may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research.

Other Consumer Discretionary stocks

An educational and research tool — not investment advice. OakBag is an educational and research tool, not investment advice. Scores and rankings are automated model outputs based on third-party data and may be inaccurate or delayed. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.