Hanover Insurance Group, Inc (THG)
Orange 📈 GrowthFinancials · As of 17 July 2026
Price chart — 52 weeks
OakBag’s model puts the fair value of Hanover Insurance Group, Inc (THG) at about $304.53, against a recent price of $213.23 — a margin of safety of +30%. On that basis the traffic light is set so it looks fairly valued. The estimate blends up to 2 independent valuation methods and is benchmarked against other Financials names. It is a model estimate for research, not a price target or a recommendation.
Fair value vs. price
- Current price
- $213.23
- Estimated fair value
- $304.53
- Margin of safety
- +30%
- Growth fair value
- $602.03
- Margin of safety (growth)
- +65%
How the fair value is built
A balance-sheet business: valued on earnings and book value (cash-flow and EV/EBITDA don’t apply to banks and insurers).
Why not green?
- The most reliable valuation method for this type of business doesn't confirm the discount.
Knock-out safety checks passed
- Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z″)
- Negative equity
- Excessive leverage
- Illiquid
- Penny / micro-cap
- Stale fundamentals
- Piotroski F-score
- 5 / 9
- Beneish M-score
- -2.57
Quality & factor profile
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Frequently asked questions
Is Hanover Insurance (THG) undervalued?
On OakBag’s model, Hanover Insurance Group, Inc looks fairly valued: the estimated fair value is $304.53 versus a recent price of $213.23, a margin of safety of +30%. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
What is THG’s fair value estimate?
OakBag estimates Hanover Insurance Group, Inc’s fair value at about $304.53, blending up to 2 methods — peer P/E, price-to-book, peer EV/EBITDA, a machine-learning valuation and a cash-flow DCF — clipped to a sensible band and taken at the median.
What is margin of safety?
Margin of safety is how far below the estimated fair value the price sits: (fair value − price) ÷ fair value. Here it is +30%. A positive number means the model sees the stock as cheap; OakBag only turns a stock green above +15%.
Does a green verdict mean I should buy THG?
No. OakBag is an educational and research tool, not investment advice. The traffic light is an automated model output based on third-party data that may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research.
Other Financials stocks
An educational and research tool — not investment advice. OakBag is an educational and research tool, not investment advice. Scores and rankings are automated model outputs based on third-party data and may be inaccurate or delayed. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.