Mattel Inc (MAT)
Green 📈 GrowthIndustrials · As of 17 July 2026
Price chart — 52 weeks
OakBag’s model puts the fair value of Mattel Inc (MAT) at about $31.46, against a recent price of $14.27 — a margin of safety of ≥ +55%. On that basis the traffic light is set so it looks undervalued. The estimate blends up to 3 independent valuation methods and is benchmarked against other Industrials names. It is a model estimate for research, not a price target or a recommendation.
Fair value vs. price
- Current price
- $14.27
- Estimated fair value
- $31.46
- Margin of safety
- ≥ +55%
- Growth fair value
- $55.73
- Margin of safety (growth)
- +74%
How the fair value is built
Value capped by the model's guard
Every valuation method came in above the model's outlier ceiling and was capped to it. An independent method still confirms at least a 15% discount, so read the margin of safety shown as “at least” — the true value is higher.
Knock-out safety checks passed
- Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z″)
- Negative equity
- Excessive leverage
- Illiquid
- Penny / micro-cap
- Stale fundamentals
- Piotroski F-score
- 5 / 9
- Beneish M-score
- -2.47
Quality & factor profile
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Frequently asked questions
Is Mattel (MAT) undervalued?
On OakBag’s model, Mattel Inc looks undervalued: the estimated fair value is $31.46 versus a recent price of $14.27, a margin of safety of ≥ +55%. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
What is MAT’s fair value estimate?
OakBag estimates Mattel Inc’s fair value at about $31.46, blending up to 3 methods — peer P/E, price-to-book, peer EV/EBITDA, a machine-learning valuation and a cash-flow DCF — clipped to a sensible band and taken at the median.
What is margin of safety?
Margin of safety is how far below the estimated fair value the price sits: (fair value − price) ÷ fair value. Here it is ≥ +55%. A positive number means the model sees the stock as cheap; OakBag only turns a stock green above +15%.
Does a green verdict mean I should buy MAT?
No. OakBag is an educational and research tool, not investment advice. The traffic light is an automated model output based on third-party data that may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research.
Other Industrials stocks
An educational and research tool — not investment advice. OakBag is an educational and research tool, not investment advice. Scores and rankings are automated model outputs based on third-party data and may be inaccurate or delayed. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.