Archer-Daniels-Midland Co (ADM)
RedConsumer Staples · As of 17 July 2026
Price chart — 52 weeks
OakBag’s model puts the fair value of Archer-Daniels-Midland Co (ADM) at about $63.30, against a recent price of $85.90 — a margin of safety of -36%. On that basis the traffic light is set so it looks expensive or risky. The estimate blends up to 2 independent valuation methods and is benchmarked against other Consumer Staples names. It is a model estimate for research, not a price target or a recommendation.
Fair value vs. price
- Current price
- $85.90
- Estimated fair value
- $63.30
- Margin of safety
- -36%
How the fair value is built
Why not green?
- It looks cheap largely because of its high quality. Stripping the quality premium out, the margin of safety is only -33% — below the buy bar (quality is already rewarded in the score).
Knock-out safety checks passed
- Bankruptcy risk (Altman Z″)
- Negative equity
- Excessive leverage
- Illiquid
- Penny / micro-cap
- Stale fundamentals
- Piotroski F-score
- 5 / 9
- Beneish M-score
- -2.99
Quality & factor profile
Retail attention
- Attention
- 77 / 100
- Mentions today
- 1
- Spike vs. 24h ago
- 1×
- Vs. typical level
- -0.3σ
See the full analysis
Create a free OakBag account to unlock every valuation method, price history, watchlists and email alerts for ADM and 1,850+ other stocks.
No credit card · just an email
Frequently asked questions
Is Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM) undervalued?
On OakBag’s model, Archer-Daniels-Midland Co looks expensive or risky: the estimated fair value is $63.30 versus a recent price of $85.90, a margin of safety of -36%. This is a model estimate, not investment advice.
What is ADM’s fair value estimate?
OakBag estimates Archer-Daniels-Midland Co’s fair value at about $63.30, blending up to 2 methods — peer P/E, price-to-book, peer EV/EBITDA, a machine-learning valuation and a cash-flow DCF — clipped to a sensible band and taken at the median.
What is margin of safety?
Margin of safety is how far below the estimated fair value the price sits: (fair value − price) ÷ fair value. Here it is -36%. A positive number means the model sees the stock as cheap; OakBag only turns a stock green above +15%.
Does a green verdict mean I should buy ADM?
No. OakBag is an educational and research tool, not investment advice. The traffic light is an automated model output based on third-party data that may be delayed or inaccurate. Always do your own research.
Other Consumer Staples stocks
An educational and research tool — not investment advice. OakBag is an educational and research tool, not investment advice. Scores and rankings are automated model outputs based on third-party data and may be inaccurate or delayed. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including possible loss of principal.